Because “The Artist” beat “The Descendants” (left) for Best Picture at the Oscars.
A strange pattern has emerged over the past 50 years, and it seems an incumbent president’s hopes for re-election are tied to which films win big at the two major Hollywood award shows, says OutFront producer Christopher Moloney.
Specifically, if a film is named Best Picture (Drama) at the Golden Globes and Best Picture at the Academy Awards, the Republican candidate is elected.
If not, the Democrat wins.
The theory applies to the year the films are awarded, not the year they are released–this year’s awards went to films released last year–and if it holds, “The Descendants’ ” inability to repeat its Golden Globes triumph at this year’s Oscars means Obama will win.
In 2004, George W. Bush, a Republican, was re-elected when “The Lord of The
Rings: The Return of the King” won both the Golden Globe and the Oscar.
In 1996, Bill Clinton, a Democrat, won a second term when “Sense & Sensibility” and “Braveheart” split the trophies.
“Bugsy” won the Golden Globe and “Silence of the Lambs” took the Oscar in 1992, and George H. W. Bush lost to Clinton.
Ronald Reagan won his second term in 1984, when “Terms of Endearment” won both statues, and four years before that, he beat Jimmy Carter during the “Kramer vs. Kramer” sweep.
In 1972, Richard Nixon was re-elected on the strength of “The French Connection,” a film about a police officer who stumbles on a French connection, only to resign two years later when a security guard stumbles on a Cuban connection.
And less than a year after assuming office for John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson was re-elected when the Golden Globe and the Oscar went to two different films: one about a young Catholic priest from Boston confronting bigotry (“The Cardinal”), the other about a ladies’ man (“Tom Jones“).
There are exceptions to the rule, of course.
In 1976, when “One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest” won both awards, things went crazy, and Gerald Ford failed to win.
But as Ford was never actually elected as president or vice president in the first place, there is an argument to be made he was never a true incumbent.
The only other time the election went off-script was in 1956, the first year the Golden Globes were held with a president seeking a second term.
That year, “East of Eden” won the Golden Globe but not the Oscar, which went to “Marty,” and Adlai Stevenson, a Democrat, lost to incumbent Dwight D.
The loss must have been particularly tough for John Steinbeck, the “East of Eden” author, who had actually sent a 19-page handwritten letter to the Democratic Digest, advising them on how to prevent Eisenhower from winning a second term.
In the letter, Steinbeck wrote: “It is generally considered that novelists are not good politicians. As candidates I should (think) this would be true but as designers of political method the reverse is probably true.”
Or maybe he should have just asked a screenwriter.
By Philip Berk
Zanuck had a knack for recycling his hits.
From Phoenix, AZ
From N. Tonawanda, NY
Entered: Golden Globes Website
From: Encino, CA
From: Georgetown, TX
Valerie J Holst
From: Schenectady, NY
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Way back in 1912,before he created Tarzan, the American author Edgar Rice Burroughs wrote the first of 11 books featuring John Carter, a Civil War soldier who is transported to Mars where the change in gravity endows him with extraordinary abilities.
Now,100 years later, the Disney studios and Pixar have produced a big-budget,special effects-filled extravaganza based on the books. It is the first of what is expected to be at least three John Carter films.
To launch John Carter Disney invited HFPA members to join journalists from around the world at a pre-sceening promotional party and press junket at the Boulders resort and spa near Scottsdale, Arizona,where the cast, including star Taylor Kitsch, Lynn Collins and Dominic West were interviewed.
Undoubtedly one of the silliest and most light-hearted awards shows in Hollywood history, the first annual Golden Collar Awards, brainchild of Alan Siskind of dognewsdaily.com, were held at the Hyatt Regency Century Plaza Hotel.
And a tail-wagging good time it was! Trophies for “best dog” performances on the big and small screen were presented by stars including Pauley Perrette (NCIS), Wendie Malick (Hot In Cleveland), Jacqueline Emerson (THE HUNGER GAMES) and Babe star James Cromwell who quipped, “I’m delighted to be here because I owe my career to a pig.”
Martin Scorsese, who wrote a facetious editorial in the Los Angeles Times lobbying for a write-in nomination for Blackie the Doberman in his movie HUGO appeared at the ceremony by video. On the road with his director, Blackie wasn’t on hand for the fun, but other dog stars taking advantage of their moment on the red carpet included such favorites as Cosmo from BEGINNERS, Rocky from ENTOURAGE, Brigitte (above) from MODERN FAMILY and a few non-contenders such as Scooter the Briard (below) who rode a scooter down the press line, and hero dog Hunter, the Border Collie who rescued 11 survivors of the Haiti earthquake.
Of course it’s no surprise that the top prize of Best Dog in a Theatrical Film went to Uggie, (above left), the scene-stealing canine in The Artist (this year’s Golden Globe winner as Best Picture, Comedy or Musical). “Uggie is a great performer but he’s also a great family member. He sleeps with us,” said the Jack Russell terrier’s owner Omar Von Muller.
Other canine winners were Best Dog in a Foreign Film: Koko as Red Dog in RED DOG Best Dog in a Television Series: Brigitte as Stella in MODERN FAMILY Best Dog in a Reality Television Series: (tie) Hercules in PIT BOSS and Giggy in THE REAL HOUSEWIVES OF BEVERLY HILLS; Best Dog in a Direct-to-DVD Film: Rody as Marley in MARLEY & ME: THE PUPPY YEARS. Additionally, the Golden Collar Humanitarian Award was given to Charize Theron, who was unavailable to attend.
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Some of us get to lie in bed and work – particularly if you are Golden Globe winner Colin Farrell, who talked with HFPA members on location for his latest movie, Seven Psychopaths, which reteams the actor with his In Bruges director/writer, Martin McDonagh. In the movie, a visual love story to the City of Angels that includes locations in downtown, the desert and the Hollywood Sign, Farrell portrays a struggling screenwriter who inadvertently becomes entangled in the Los Angeles underworld after his friends (Sam Rockwell and Christopher Walken) kidnap a gangster’s (Woody Harrelson) Shih Tzu. The HFPA visited the set in a rented Silverlake home where the Irish actor lolled in bed, delivering variations on a scene with Abbie Cornish, who portrays his girlfriend, and Rockwell. Afterwards the actors chatted with members about the black humor, humanity and danger that attracted them to the script.—-Margaret Gardener. Pictures ( above): Armando Gallo
Wight, 52, worked closely with Oscar-winning director James Cameron, who co-produced Sanctum with him. A shared love of diving led to the friendship between Wight and the director of Titanic and Avatar, and Wight had worked with Cameron on a variety of underwater-related films including Ghosts of the Abyss, Expedition Bismarck, Aliens of the Deep and Last Mysteries of the Titanic in the last decade.
Cameron said in a statement: “Andrew was kind and loyal, full of life and a sense of fun, and above all, a careful planner who stressed safety to everyone on his team every single day. It is cruelly ironic that he died flying a helicopter, which was second nature to him like driving a car would be to most people.”Read More »